Saturday
Jan092010
Is the distribution of bombs random (Chapters 1, 6 and 26)?
Each circle represents the spot where a rocket sent from Germany landed in London. Is there a pattern? It sure looks like it, but in fact the distribution is random, matching the distribution of the Poisson distribution. A chi-square test compares the expected and observed distributions (RD Clarke, Journal of the Institute of Actuaries, vol. 72, 1946, p. 481). Tierny discusses psychological aspects of this example -- people are more likely to see patterns in random data when very stressed.
Saturday, January 9, 2010 at 5:29AM 12 Comments
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Une excellente lecture, ni trop, ni pas assez…
les dialogues avec Mrs Aouda ne sont même pas ridicules…bravo !
merci encore à vous Damien
j’embarque maintenant sur le Nautilus
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